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Post ID Date & Time Game Date Function
Huaraches25
Joined: 05/01/2016
Posts: 151

Inactive

Broken Bat Baseball
(I've been posting a lot lately lol)

What is EXWL on the detailed standings page and what does it mean. (Im on mobile so I can't see it)
dsz071
Joined: 09/12/2015
Posts: 334

Inactive

Broken Bat Baseball
Expected Win/Loss Record
Spoonerific
Joined: 01/17/2013
Posts: 339

Inactive

Broken Bat Baseball
It is the numbers of wins and losses based on Pythagorean progression based on run differential.

EDIT: It can be calculate as {[1]/[(1)+(run allowed/ runs scored)^2]}

Updated Saturday, June 18 2016 @ 1:26:03 pm PDT
amalric7
Joined: 01/20/2016
Posts: 2235

New York Lancers
IV.2

Broken Bat Baseball
It doesn't count for too much, though.

My EXWL this season was 89-71, meaning I was expected to finish 2nd in my division. My RD at +93 was 2nd best for the entire league this season.

And I went 79-81 and was relegated.



Updated Tuesday, June 21 2016 @ 8:43:20 am PDT
Rock777
Joined: 09/21/2014
Posts: 9571

Haverhill Halflings
III.1

Broken Bat Baseball
Early in the season the sample size is too small. Late in the season the number are skewed because it doesn't take into account current record, and a lot of teams will stop trying to win games.

Mid-season its a very good indicator. Even late it isn't bad against a direct competitor who is still playing competitively, but you need to factor in current record yourself. If it says, you will go 100-60, but you are already 90-65, you can be sure you aren't going to unlose those 5 games (and your EXWL is probably inflated due to other teams pulling their starters).


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