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Post ID	Date & Time	Game Date	Function
#42185	11/25/2016 5:30:25 pm		Ignore
AssumedPseudonym Joined: 10/26/2016 Posts: 1130 Deerfield Beach Rats V.7	I’m moderately offended by the notion that I’m expected to go on a 1-9 run to finish out the year, but that’s sort of beside the point, here. How exactly is Independence supposed to wrap up the season by going eleven-and-negative-one? Updated Tuesday, November 29 2016 @ 5:23:22 am PST
#42186	11/25/2016 6:37:50 pm		Ignore
mcrmoe Joined: 09/24/2014 Posts: 290 Inactive	Not an error, the expected win/loss are based on run differential. -Moe
#42219	11/26/2016 6:22:10 pm		Ignore
Rock777 Joined: 09/21/2014 Posts: 9588 Haverhill Halflings III.1	Basically means the Athletics have had some really bad luck during the season, and really should have finished with a better record than they did. EXWL is mostly only useful near midseason, as it doesn't incorporate the actual record, but rather the expected outcome based on strictly on the team performance. Your team on the other hand has caught a lot of lucky breaks (as the 1-run record normally attests to); based on performance you shouldn't have the record you do. Updated Saturday, November 26 2016 @ 6:23:53 pm PST
#42230	11/27/2016 6:20:42 am		Ignore
AssumedPseudonym Joined: 10/26/2016 Posts: 1130 Deerfield Beach Rats V.7	Okay, fair enough. No bug to see here, move along. <.< >.> <.<;
#42231	11/27/2016 6:20:43 am		Ignore
AssumedPseudonym Joined: 10/26/2016 Posts: 1130 Deerfield Beach Rats V.7	Okay, fair enough. No bug to see here, move along. <.< >.> <.<;
#42233	11/27/2016 6:36:13 am		Ignore
MukilteoMike Joined: 08/09/2014 Posts: 3294 Inactive	The confusion is largely because the EXWL is shown as if the entire season has been played. In my opinion it makes more sense to show either the expected WPCT or EXWL based on the number of games played. It's really weird this way.
#42248	11/27/2016 5:05:05 pm
admin Joined: 01/27/2010 Posts: 4985 Administrator	Pythagorean expectation / Expected Wins BTW, it isn't necessarily bad luck. It could also be poor tactics employed in close games too... Steve
#42260	11/27/2016 9:43:32 pm		Ignore
Rock777 Joined: 09/21/2014 Posts: 9588 Haverhill Halflings III.1	My 1-run record fluctuates drastically from season to season, but my tactics and personnel haven't changed significantly. There is a lot of luck in baseball (otherwise every hitter would have a Boolean avg against any specific pitcher) and 1-run games are going to fall one way or the other based primarily on which players get hits. I am 19-25 in 1-run games this year despite having the strongest bullpen in the league. I really don't think its an issue with my tactics. Two years ago I was 22-14. That's a 14 game swing; the difference between promotion and demotion in many leagues. EDIT: But yes, I see what you mean. It isn't always bad luck. Sometimes we make our own bad luck I supposed if it wasn't fluctuating it would be a hint that I should review my tactics. Updated Sunday, November 27 2016 @ 9:48:35 pm PST

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