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MukilteoMike
Joined: 08/09/2014
Posts: 3294

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Have a one-game playoff for all tie-breakers (promotion and relegation).

I'm not sure why MLB's method isn't used. It would be much more satisfying and exciting to break the tie with an actual game.

I think that's the best solution, but if that isn't used, head-to-head record would be a much better method than run differential. The four major American professional sports (sorry soccer) all use either a play-in game or head-to-head to break the ties. They just make more sense. Run differential is reasonable and logical for the Cup, but not for a 160 game season.
newtman
Joined: 11/02/2013
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Completely disagree, run differential is far more indicative of performance over 160 games than a one game play-in which would greatly favor one dominating player over depth, especially if someone has a 16+ potential pitcher.
Crazy Li
Joined: 01/25/2015
Posts: 879

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I disagree that a 1-game playoff is the best method but also disagree that RD is the best.

I like the head-to-head as a tie breaker. Rather than your entire season coming down to 1 game and its random variance, why not take all the games they played against each other that season? And I guess if that's tied, THEN you can go to RD.

I don't like RD first because it doesn't really tell how good of a team you are. If you're an offense-first team, maybe you have a high RD because of the occasional offensive slaughter you put up. If you're a defense-first team, you may win a lot of 1-0 or otherwise 1 RD games. Does that mean you're a weaker team? Not necessarily. Maybe you can hold the offensive juggernaut to less runs than you score as well. There's no way to know for sure without actually playing the games... and guess what? The teams do that all year long.
admin
Joined: 01/27/2010
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Run differential is used because it's easiest to implement.

Imagine a three way tie...3-team 1-game playoff and what if all three teams go 1-1 or something.


Steve
the gizmo
Joined: 02/07/2013
Posts: 574

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I believe one game should not be the deciding factor after 160
RD is not necessarily the best as the differences in offense and defense from each team mentioned above

Every team plays a balanced schedule so have head to head record of tied teams as first tiebreak, then division W/L and RD if 3rd option if needed
PrivateSnowflake
Joined: 01/06/2015
Posts: 1231

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+1 @ newtman. Fairest way to do it. One game does not a season make.
MukilteoMike
Joined: 08/09/2014
Posts: 3294

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RD is completely artificial and doesn't mean anything. There are many reasons why it's a bad breaker, which is why it's far down the list of MLB breakers.

With a tie breaker game, there is a legit winner. One has a better record. I understand it sucks to lose that way, but it's a lot better than any artificial stats breaker. What is more fair than having a better record?

Head to head is next best. Winning games is what baseball is about. It's not about by how many runs you win by. It's about wins.

When in doubt, look to MLB. We try to outthink ourselves way too much. Go with the real world model.

Updated Tuesday, January 19 2016 @ 10:13:03 am PST
Crazy Li
Joined: 01/25/2015
Posts: 879

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But Steve said the real world model is difficult to code and properly implement. You have to consider the limitations of things not decided by actual human beings. The real world has the benefit of sentient input.

Still, I fail to see why something like head to head and/or vs division records can't be assessed ahead of run diff. Granted with only two actual divisions, the latter might be pointless.

Updated Tuesday, January 19 2016 @ 12:29:39 pm PST


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